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| The euro, EU enlargement and the challenge of risk mitigation | ||
![]() ISBN 2-907587-10-2 |
By eliminating currency risk among 12 countries already soon to be joined by Central Europes accession countries and by fostering Europe-wide integration of money, bond and equity markets, the euro has radically transformed financial risk management in Europe. Meanwhile global initiatives like CLS the Continuous Linked Settlement clearing house for foreign-exchange markets also herald a new era in industry-wide cooperation with central banks and regulators to eliminate or mitigate risk in cross-border operations. Outline Introduction by André Roelants, Chairman, Edmond Israel Foundation, and CEO, Clearstream International | |
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Quotes Part I. INSPIRING VISIONS: THE POLITICAL ECONOMY OF MARKETS WITHOUT BORDER The Eurosystem is prepared
to continue to play the role on the one hand as a catalyst, facilitating the decision-making process on infrastructures, and on the other hand as an oversight authority, monitoring implementation. I believe that to combine widening with deepening in a considerably enlarged EU implies that we have to accept that further deepening may, more often than in the past, involve only a subset of EU members. Members that want deeper integration should not be prevented from others to move ahead but at the same time they should accept it if others want to retain more of their national sovereignty. Under these circumstances, there is no trade-off between widening and deepening. The monetary challenge is one of convergence and of stability in convergence. It is a very serious subject: one can state that convergence has occurred and then pay a huge price for having ignored reality, or one can observe reality, and verify that convergence has taken place The paradox is that concentration can go with greater competition as the multiplicity of CSDs gave each of them a monopoly power over its part of the network. By creating genuine interoperability and open access among a smaller number of larger entities, the ability of users to shop around would be increased rather than decreased. Part II. PACE SETTING INITIATIVES: THE SECURITIES INDUSTRY IN THE AGE OF COLLATERAL WITHOUT BORDERS We are now developing a new clearing system for equities as well as for derivatives
This system embodies an open-architecture based on ISO standards and are compatible with SWIFT. It is designed to make cross-border clearing, cross-margining and collateralization possible
However technology is only one aspect of the challenge
The legal dimension is essential for cross-border risk management. A central counterparty is inherently a utility-type structure; it should not be owned by a listed, profit-maximization type of organization, as such an owner does not have resilience and integrity as its prime concern. CLS could or will affect the whole securities industry as it could suck collateral out of other uses it is currently put to. Banks essentially provide payment services and help maintain market liquidity. They must do so with minimal risk to save scarce capital. In the complex environment of global capital markets, services like tripartite repos give bank treasurers a high degree of flexibility without creating new levels of operational risk. Part III. FAR-REACHING TRANSFORMATIONS: CENTRAL EUROPE AND EU ACCESSION COUNTRIES GEARING UP FOR THE EURO. Short of skipping the transition phase altogether, the only way to make fixed-exchange-rate ERM-II work would be through an explicit commitment of unlimited support by the ECB in the case of a speculative attack. This is how the attacks against the French franc were defeated, with the Bundesbank in the role that the ECB should play for us today. We have drawn the attention of the ECB to the need for such a commitment but, so far at least, we fear that it might not be available. One can begin thinking of the EU as one large country with some less developed regions that will benefit from the pull effect and from the regional policies that result from strong links with the center. Stock exchanges in Central Europe should gradually transfer into demutualized, for-profit organizations open to foreign participants and shareholders. The natural partners in such a development are foreign stock exchanges, investment banks, providers of information technology, and telecommunication service providers. All in all, frontiers continue to exist unchanged today, but the "notion of a frontier" is steadily changing. Translated into everyday language, this means that communities with the same past and fate are growing increasingly conscious and their co-operation is all the more imperative
The European Union has been created, not only in legal and political terms, but also in Man's consciousness too. Its enlargement is no smooth sailing, though. | ||